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Giulia Bianchi
@giuliab · Feb 9

SpaceX wants to build a base on the Moon. And the market is already thinking about only one thing: When will the IPO happen?

The CEO of Tesla and SpaceX stated on his X account on Sunday that the company has shifted its focus to building a self-sustaining city on the Moon, arguing that it would take more than 20 years on Mars.

SpaceX is still private today, but its valuation on secondary markets already exceeds hundreds of billions of dollars. Starlink alone, according to not only my analyses but others’ as well, could be worth tens to hundreds of billions of USD.

Would you buy SpaceX shares right at the IPO, even though it would likely be one of the largest public listings in history?

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Novakkk @novakkk Feb 10

I've read a bit about it too, and the IPO will probably happen eventually, but it will take some time.

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Giulia Bianchi @giuliab Feb 10

I saw somewhere that there's about an 89% chance it will happen this year. You can even bet on it, but that's literally a gamble :)

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Ava White @avaw Feb 10

This could be really interesting, and I would definitely buy some shares after the IPO, because demand would be huge.

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Giulia Bianchi @giuliab Feb 10

Would you buy on the very first day? And if so, what size position relative to your portfolio (percentage)?

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Camila Torres @camilat Feb 9

If we're talking about investments—what economic profit is that little castle on a stilt on the Moon supposed to have?😂

To me, Elon’s fairy tales already look like fodder for horses, and I don't eat hay😜

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Giulia Bianchi @giuliab Feb 10

That's a good question. I can't answer it right now. I just know I wouldn't buy the shares right at the IPO :)

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Pedro Almeida @pedroa Feb 9

This sector interests me and I’d like to buy (if I do, only a small position), but I avoid most IPOs — there are far too many uncertainties, so I see them more as speculation than real fundamentals. I do like Rocket Lab, which I think will be part of an oligopoly. How do you see it? Or how do you approach it? :)

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Pedro Almeida @pedroa Feb 9

Rocket Lab...